What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Coritiba and 0.8 from CA Paranaense PR, so Coritiba come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Coritiba or Draw. This covers Coritiba or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake.
