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Football/Brasileirão Série A/Gremio v Cruzeiro
Brasileirão Série A · Arena do Grêmio

Gremio v Cruzeiro prediction

Gremio crestGremioLLLDD
v
Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro5th of 20 · 48 ptsLWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Gremio and 1.1 from Cruzeiro, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Gremio come into this on two straight draws. Cruzeiro come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Gremio or Draw. This covers Gremio or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Gremio have not won any of their last five.
✓Cruzeiro have won four of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

19 Apr 2026Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Gremio
5 Nov 2025Gremio 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
14 Jul 2025Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Gremio
28 Nov 2024Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio
10 Jul 2024Gremio 0 - 2 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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More Brasileirão Série A fixtures

Full fixture list
Vasco crestVascovRemoRemo crest★★★★★
Vasco are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.1), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookVasco to win · 1.32Share
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