What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Mirassol and 1.1 from Atletico-MG, so Mirassol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Atletico-MG come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Mirassol or Draw. This covers Mirassol or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Atletico-MG have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.
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