What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Sao Paulo and 0.9 from Corinthians, so Sao Paulo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Sao Paulo to score. This is about Sao Paulo's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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