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★★★★★This is about Atletico-MG's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
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Football Predictions for Thursday, 5 November 2026
29 games across 5 leagues, each with the pick we would make and why.
Brasileirão Série A
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★★★★★This is about Sao Paulo's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
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★★★★★Palmeiras are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.6), and we make them about 77% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Saudi Pro League
League page
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★★★★★This covers Al Khaleej or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Al Shabab shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.0), and we make them about 61% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★Al Qadsiah are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.8), and we make them about 77% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
UEFA Conference League
League page
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★★★★★This covers Sp Braga or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Atalanta are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-0.5), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Hajduk Split shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-2.0), and we make them about 68% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★This covers Midtjylland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Borac Banja Luka or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Trabzonspor or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Brighton shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.5), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★This covers Lugano or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Monaco are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.9), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Riga FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Twente are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 62% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
UEFA Europa League
League page
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★★★★★This covers Anderlecht or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Crystal Palace or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Levski Sofia are favoured here (xG 2.4-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Levski Sofia defeat beats you.
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★★★★★This covers Nijmegen or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Bournemouth or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Benfica are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.0-0.8), and we make them about 81% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers St. Gilloise or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Celtic or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Leverkusen are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.4), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Sturm Graz or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Sunderland are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-1.0), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
