How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Botev Plovdiv or Draw 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Botev Plovdiv and 1.0 from Slavia Sofia, so Botev Plovdiv come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Botev Plovdiv come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Botev Plovdiv or Draw. This covers Botev Plovdiv or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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