How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Botev Vratsa or Draw 75%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Botev Vratsa and 1.1 from Spartak Varna, so Botev Vratsa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Botev Vratsa come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Botev Vratsa or Draw. This covers Botev Vratsa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Botev Vratsa have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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