How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made CSKA Sofia or Draw 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from CSKA 1948 and 1.2 from CSKA Sofia, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
CSKA 1948 come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: CSKA Sofia or Draw. This covers CSKA Sofia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
CSKA Sofia have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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