What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.9 from Slavia Sofia, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv come into this on two straight draws. Slavia Sofia come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv or Draw. This covers Lokomotiv Plovdiv or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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