Arda Kardzhali v Levski Sofia prediction

What to expect

We expect about 0.9 goals from Arda Kardzhali and 1.5 from Levski Sofia, so Levski Sofia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Levski Sofia to win. Levski Sofia shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.5), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.