What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.9 from CSKA 1948, so Ludogorets Razgrad come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
CSKA 1948 come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Ludogorets Razgrad to win. Ludogorets Razgrad are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.9), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
CSKA 1948 have won three of the last five meetings.
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