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Football/Bundesliga/Bayern Munich v FC Koln
Bundesliga

Bayern Munich v FC Koln prediction

Bayern Munich crestBayern Munich1st of 18 · 18 ptsWDWWD
v
FC Koln crestFC Koln13th of 18 · 9 ptsWLDWD

What to expect

We expect about 3.5 goals from Bayern Munich and 0.9 from FC Koln, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Bayern Munich to win. Bayern Munich are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.4-0.9), and we make them about 91% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 90 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.08, which works out at about 93 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓FC Koln have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

16 May 2026Bayern Munich 5 - 1 FC Koln
14 Jan 2026FC Koln 1 - 3 Bayern Munich
13 Apr 2024Bayern Munich 2 - 0 FC Koln
24 Nov 2023FC Koln 0 - 1 Bayern Munich
27 May 2023FC Koln 1 - 2 Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich have won five of the last five meetings.

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More Bundesliga fixtures

Full fixture list
1 Nov 2026Ein Frankfurt crestEin FrankfurtvHamburgHamburg crest
Dortmund crestDortmundvElversbergElversberg crest★★★★★
Dortmund are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-1.1), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookDortmund to win · 1.29Share
Every game on Friday, 20 November 2026 →
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