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★★★★★Bayern Munich are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.4-0.9), and we make them about 91% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Bundesliga
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
18Matches
3Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Friday 20 November
v★★★★★Saturday 21 November
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 71%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Leverkusen are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 1.3-2.0), landing about 62% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Stuttgart shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.9), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Sunday 22 November
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 65%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Friday 27 November
Saturday 28 November
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Bayern Munich shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.9), and we make them about 83% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★This covers Paderborn or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.8 goals between the two (xG 2.3-1.4), landing about 71% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Sunday 29 November
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 67%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.1-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 67%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
