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Football/Bundesliga/Paderborn v Schalke 04
Bundesliga

Paderborn v Schalke 04 prediction

Paderborn crestPaderborn13th of 18 · 10 ptsWLDDD
v
Schalke 04 crestSchalke 0417th of 18 · 6 ptsLDLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Paderborn and 0.9 from Schalke 04, so Paderborn come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Paderborn come into this on three straight draws. Schalke 04 come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Paderborn or Draw. This covers Paderborn or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Paderborn have won one of their last five.
✓Schalke 04 have not won any of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

26 Apr 2026Paderborn 2 - 3 Schalke 04
28 Nov 2025Schalke 04 2 - 1 Paderborn
2 May 2025Schalke 04 0 - 2 Paderborn
6 Dec 2024Paderborn 2 - 4 Schalke 04
9 Mar 2024Schalke 04 3 - 3 Paderborn

Schalke 04 have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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More Bundesliga fixtures

Full fixture list
Leverkusen crestLeverkusenvPaderbornPaderborn crest★★★★★
Leverkusen are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 65% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookLeverkusen to win · 1.28Share
Every game on Saturday, 28 November 2026 →
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