How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made HFX Wanderers FC or Draw 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from HFX Wanderers FC and 1.4 from Supra du Québec, so HFX Wanderers FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: HFX Wanderers FC or Draw. This covers HFX Wanderers FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.92, which works out at about 52 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Supra du Québec have won two of the last three meetings.
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