How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Atlético Ottawa or Draw 66%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Inter Toronto FC and 1.7 from Atlético Ottawa, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Inter Toronto FC come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Atlético Ottawa or Draw. This covers Atlético Ottawa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
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