What to expect
We expect about 3.0 goals from Inter and 0.6 from Shakhtar Donetsk, so Inter come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Shakhtar Donetsk come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Inter -1 (win by 2+). Inter to win this by two goals or more (xG 3.0-0.6). The handicap asks for more than just the win, which is why it pays what it does.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Inter have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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