What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Man United and 1.4 from Roma, so Man United come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Man United come into this on three straight defeats. Roma come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Man United or Draw. This covers Man United or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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