What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from RB Leipzig and 2.0 from Man City, so Man City come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
RB Leipzig come into this on three straight wins. Man City come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Man City or Draw. This covers Man City or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Man City have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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