Sp Lisbon v LASK prediction

What to expect

We expect about 3.3 goals from Sp Lisbon and 0.7 from LASK, so Sp Lisbon come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Sp Lisbon come into this on two straight wins. LASK come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sp Lisbon -1 (win by 2+). Sp Lisbon to win this by two goals or more (xG 3.3-0.7). The handicap asks for more than just the win, which is why it pays what it does.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.