How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Blackburn or Draw 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Blackburn and 1.3 from Cardiff, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Blackburn or Draw. This covers Blackburn or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Blackburn have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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