What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Blackburn and 0.9 from Cardiff, so Blackburn come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-0.9), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Blackburn have won one of their last five.
✓Cardiff have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
15 Mar 2025Blackburn 1 - 2 Cardiff
9 Nov 2024Cardiff 1 - 3 Blackburn
20 Feb 2024Cardiff 0 - 0 Blackburn
21 Oct 2023Blackburn 1 - 0 Cardiff
1 Jan 2023Blackburn 1 - 0 Cardiff
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