What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Blackburn and 0.9 from Stoke, so Blackburn come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Blackburn to score. This is about Blackburn's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Stoke have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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