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Football/EFL Championship/Derby v Norwich
EFL Championship · County Ground Derby

Derby v Norwich prediction

Derby crestDerby23rd of 24 · 7 ptsDLLDL
v
Norwich crestNorwich15th of 24 · 15 ptsLLLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Derby and 1.4 from Norwich, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Norwich come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Norwich or Draw. This covers Norwich or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Derby have not won any of their last five.
✓Norwich have won two of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent results

21 Apr 2026Norwich 2 - 1 Derby
21 Oct 2025Derby 1 - 0 Norwich
8 Feb 2025Norwich 1 - 1 Derby
28 Sept 2024Derby 2 - 3 Norwich

Norwich have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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More EFL Championship fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 →
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