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Football/EFL Championship/Cardiff v Watford
EFL Championship · Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff v Watford prediction

Cardiff crestCardiff21st of 24 · 7 ptsLLDLW
v
Watford crestWatford20th of 24 · 8 ptsLWLDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Cardiff and 1.3 from Watford, so Cardiff come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Cardiff have won one of their last five.
✓Watford have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

14 Jan 2025Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford
29 Dec 2024Watford 1 - 2 Cardiff
3 Feb 2024Watford 0 - 1 Cardiff
7 Oct 2023Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford
19 Apr 2023Watford 1 - 3 Cardiff
Cardiff have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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