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Football/EFL Championship/Millwall v Swansea
EFL Championship · The Den

Millwall v Swansea prediction

Millwall crestMillwall11th of 24 · 11 ptsLWLDD
v
Swansea crestSwansea1st of 24 · 17 ptsWDLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Millwall and 1.1 from Swansea, so Millwall come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Millwall come into this on two straight draws. Swansea come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Millwall or Draw. This covers Millwall or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Millwall have won one of their last five.
✓Swansea have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

4 Jan 2026Millwall 2 - 1 Swansea
27 Sept 2025Swansea 1 - 1 Millwall
26 Apr 2025Millwall 1 - 0 Swansea
26 Oct 2024Swansea 0 - 1 Millwall
4 May 2024Swansea 0 - 1 Millwall
Millwall have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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