What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Lincoln and 1.4 from Burnley, so Burnley come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Burnley or Draw. This covers Burnley or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Lincoln have won one of their last five.
✓Burnley have won one of their last five.
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