What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Wolves and 1.0 from Portsmouth, so Wolves come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Wolves or Draw. This covers Wolves or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Wolves have won two of their last five.
✓Portsmouth have won one of their last five.
Recent results
10 Oct 2026Lat Middlesbrough · 1 - 0
20 Sept 2026Wvs West Brom · 1 - 0
13 Sept 2026Wat Sheffield United · 0 - 1
6 Sept 2026Dat Birmingham · 2 - 2
1 Sept 2026Lat West Ham · 4 - 2
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