Sheffield United v Lincoln: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Lincoln to score 1 or fewer 76%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Sheffield United and 0.9 from Lincoln, so Sheffield United come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sheffield United come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Lincoln to score 1 or fewer. This is about Lincoln's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.