How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Both teams to score 58%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from West Ham and 1.4 from Derby, so West Ham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.94, which works out at about 52 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
