West Ham v QPR: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made QPR to score 1 or fewer 73%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.1 goals from West Ham and 1.2 from QPR, so West Ham come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

QPR come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: QPR to score 1 or fewer. This is about QPR's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.