How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Cobresal to win 59%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Cobresal and 0.9 from Universidad de Concepción, so Cobresal come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Universidad de Concepción come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cobresal to win. Cobresal are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Cobresal have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
