How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Colo Colo or Draw 66%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Coquimbo Unido and 1.3 from Colo Colo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Coquimbo Unido come into this on two straight wins. Colo Colo come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Colo Colo or Draw. This covers Colo Colo or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Colo Colo have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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