What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Universidad de Concepción and 1.6 from Universidad de Chile, so Universidad de Chile come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Universidad de Chile (Draw No Bet). Universidad de Chile are favoured here (xG 0.7-1.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Universidad de Chile defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Universidad de Concepción win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed.