What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Midtjylland and 1.5 from Ajax, so Midtjylland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Midtjylland come into this on three straight wins. Ajax come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Midtjylland or Draw. This covers Midtjylland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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