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Football/Croatia HNL/Rijeka v NK Varaždin
Croatia HNL

Rijeka v NK Varaždin prediction

Rijeka crestRijeka5th of 10 · 17 ptsLLWWL
v
NK Varaždin crestNK Varaždin3rd of 10 · 18 ptsDDWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Rijeka and 0.8 from NK Varaždin, so Rijeka come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

NK Varaždin come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Rijeka or Draw. This covers Rijeka or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Rijeka have won two of their last five.
✓NK Varaždin have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

16 Aug 2026NK Varaždin 2 - 0 Rijeka
22 Apr 2026NK Varaždin 1 - 0 Rijeka
14 Feb 2026Rijeka 3 - 1 NK Varaždin
9 Nov 2025NK Varaždin 1 - 0 Rijeka
24 Aug 2025Rijeka 1 - 2 NK Varaždin

NK Varaždin have won four of the last five meetings.

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More Croatia HNL fixtures

Full fixture list
31 Oct 2026Rudeš crestRudeš1-0Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb crest31 Oct 2026Hajduk Split crestHajduk Split5-0HNK GoricaHNK Gorica crest
Every game on Sunday, 1 November 2026 →
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