What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Barry Town and 1.5 from Connah's Quay Nomads, so Connah's Quay Nomads come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Connah's Quay Nomads come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Connah's Quay Nomads or Draw. This covers Connah's Quay Nomads or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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