How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Apollon Limassol to win 54%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Krasava Ypsonas FC and 1.5 from Apollon Limassol, so Apollon Limassol come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Krasava Ypsonas FC come into this on four straight defeats. Apollon Limassol come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Apollon Limassol to win. Apollon Limassol shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.5), and we make them about 55% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last two meetings are split 1-1, with no drawn.
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