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★★★★★Pafos FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.5), and we make them about 55% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
FD
First Division
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
4Matches
1Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Sunday 11 October
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★★★★★AEL Limassol are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.1), and we make them about 57% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Aris Limassol or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
