What to expect
We expect about 0.7 goals from Omonia Aradippou and 1.7 from Pafos FC, so Pafos FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Omonia Aradippou come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Pafos FC to win. Pafos FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-1.7), and we make them about 65% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Pafos FC have won four of the last four meetings.
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