How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made FC Zbrojovka Brno to score 2 or fewer 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.1 goals from FC Zbrojovka Brno and 0.9 from Artis Brno, so FC Zbrojovka Brno come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FC Zbrojovka Brno to score 2 or fewer. This is about FC Zbrojovka Brno's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 67%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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