Jablonec v Slovan Liberec: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Jablonec and 1.1 from Slovan Liberec, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 77%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.