Sigma Olomouc v Bohemians 1905: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Sigma Olomouc and 1.0 from Bohemians 1905, so Sigma Olomouc come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Bohemians 1905 come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.4-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 76%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.