Slavia Prague v FC Zbrojovka Brno: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 4.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.4 goals from Slavia Prague and 0.7 from FC Zbrojovka Brno, so Slavia Prague come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Slavia Prague come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Slavia Prague to win. Slavia Prague are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-0.7), and we make them about 83% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.