Brondby v FC Copenhagen: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Brondby to score 72%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

Brøndby host FC Copenhagen at home in the Superliga on 20 September 2026. Brøndby sit just above the relegation zone while Copenhagen sit near the top, fighting for a European place. Both clubs are close on points, but the numbers show Copenhagen as the stronger side. The game could decide who moves up or down the table, and with both teams needing points, an open contest with chances at both ends is likely.

Brøndby come into this match on a run of three straight defeats. In their last eight games they have won four, drawn one and lost three. The most recent results were a 4-1 loss away to Midtjylland, a 3-0 home defeat by Randers FC and a 3-1 loss away to Nordsjælland. Before that they beat Silkeborg 3-1 at home, won 3-2 over SønderjyskE at home and travelled to Horsens for a 2-0 victory. In those eight games Brøndby have scored 12 and let in 14, keeping two clean sheets and failing to find the net once. Five of the matches featured three or more goals and both sides scored in five of them. At home their last four fixtures have been three wins and one loss, showing they can be dangerous on their own turf.

Copenhagen arrive on the back of four consecutive wins. In their last eight games they have won seven and lost only once. Their recent form includes a 2-0 home win over Horsens, a 5-0 away demolition of Odense, a 2-0 home victory against Nordsjælland, a 3-1 home success over SønderjyskE, a 4-0 away loss to Viborg and a 4-0 away win over Randers FC. In those eight games Copenhagen have scored 22 and conceded just eight, keeping four clean sheets and being held scoreless only once. Six of the matches produced three or more goals and both teams scored in three of them. Their last four road games have been three wins and one loss, the most recent being the 4-0 win at Randers FC nine days ago.

The two clubs have met five times before, with each side winning twice and one draw. Those games have averaged two goals each. The most recent encounter was a narrow 1-0 win for Copenhagen at Brøndby on 23 November 2025. Given the recent form of both sides, the fixture is likely to be another tight affair with both teams looking to attack. Copenhagen’s stronger scoring record suggests they will create more chances, but Brøndby’s home record and the fact that both sides have been involved in high-scoring games point to an open match with goals at both ends.

Our pick is Brøndby to score. We expect the home side to find the net about 72 % of the time, and the price of 1.30 is shorter than our view of the game. The bet only needs a single Brøndby goal, not a particular total. It looks good because Brøndby have scored in five of their last eight games and have a decent record at home. The pick could go wrong if Copenhagen dominate completely and keep a clean sheet, as they have done in four recent matches. If Brøndby fail to break down a solid Copenhagen defence, the bet would lose. Otherwise, a goal from the home side seems likely.