How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Under 4.5 goals 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.5 goals from FC Copenhagen and 1.2 from Sonderjyske, so FC Copenhagen come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sonderjyske come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. This one is tight against the line: we make it around 3.6 goals (xG 2.5-1.1) and it takes five to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 75%). A close call rather than a comfortable one.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →