Lyngby v Odense: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 70%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

The game looks very even. Our goal expectations are 1.4 for Lyngby and 1.3 for Odense, which means the total is about 2.7 goals. There is almost nothing between the two sides on those numbers, so we expect a tight match rather than a free-flowing one. Both teams have struggled lately, so the pace is likely to be cautious.

Lyngby have not won any of their last five league games, drawing two and losing three, and they come in on two straight defeats. Odense have managed only one win, one draw and three losses in the same period. In their last five meetings, Lyngby have won twice, Odense once and two games were drawn, with an average of 2.8 goals per match. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 to Lyngby in May 2024. Those facts suggest a low-scoring, close contest.

We pick the Under 3.5 goals. The price of 1.56 looks good to us because it is longer than what we see in the game. Our short note says the match has the look of a cagey, low-scoring affair – around 2.6 goals total, about 1.4 to 1.2 each – and it should stay under the line most of the time. We feel confident about this choice.

For the pick to go wrong we would need both sides to find the net many times, pushing the total above three and a half. That would require a sudden burst of attacking play that does not fit the recent form or the usual meeting averages. Our view is fairly strong, with a 72 % chance of the under holding.

Recent meetings