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Football/Ecuador Serie A/CSD Macará v Independiente del Valle
Ecuador Serie A

CSD Macará v Independiente del Valle prediction

CSD Macará crestCSD Macará2nd in Championship Round · 57 ptsWWW
v
Independiente del Valle crestIndependiente del Valle1st in Championship Round · 77 ptsLWDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from CSD Macará and 1.5 from Independiente del Valle, so Independiente del Valle come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

CSD Macará come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Independiente del Valle or Draw. This covers Independiente del Valle or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓CSD Macará are unbeaten in their last three — three wins and no draws.
✓Independiente del Valle have won two of their last four.

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