What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Delfín and 0.9 from Técnico Universitario, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Delfín (Draw No Bet). Delfín are favoured here (xG 1.1-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Delfín defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Técnico Universitario win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 66% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
