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Football/Ecuador Serie A/Delfín v Técnico Universitario
Ecuador Serie A

Delfín v Técnico Universitario: how it went

Delfín crestDelfín5th of 6 · 29 pts
1 - 0
Técnico Universitario crestTécnico Universitario4th of 6 · 33 pts
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.0 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Delfín (Draw No Bet) 61%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.1 goals from Delfín and 0.9 from Técnico Universitario, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Our pick: Delfín (Draw No Bet). Delfín are favoured here (xG 1.1-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Delfín defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

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