What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Manta and 1.4 from Aucas, so Aucas come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Manta come into this on two straight defeats. Aucas come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Aucas to win. Aucas shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.4), and we make them about 48% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.87, which works out at about 53 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
