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Football/Ecuador Serie A/Mushuc Runa v Orense
Ecuador Serie A

Mushuc Runa v Orense prediction

Mushuc Runa crestMushuc Runa1st in Relegation Round · 39 ptsLDL
v
Orense crestOrense3rd in Relegation Round · 34 ptsLLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Mushuc Runa and 1.1 from Orense, so Mushuc Runa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Mushuc Runa or Draw. This covers Mushuc Runa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Mushuc Runa have not won any of their last three.
✓Orense have not won any of their last three.

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